ISSN: 0137-3056


MoSaHE points:

13



Editor in chief:
prof. dr hab. Tomasz Żylicz
tzylicz@wne.uw.edu.pl

Editorial assistant:
Marta Höffner
ekonomia@wne.uw.edu.pl
(48) 22 55 49 184

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Forecasting Turning Points with Composite Leading Indicators - the Case of Poland

K. Zalewski

ABSTRACT: This paper concerns the problem of short-term forecasting of economic activity. With the use of Composite Leading Indicators the business cycles of Polish economy are forecasted for 1992–2007 and confronted with real data. Results of Composite Leading Indicator analysis conducted for the end of 2007 suggest possible downturn phase at the beginning of 2008.

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Issue number: 24

In this issue:

Introduction and Overview
A. Cieślik
ABSTRACT | PDF
Employment Specialization in the Enlarged European Union
A. Parteka
ABSTRACT | PDF
Corruption and Social Norms
Ł. Goczek
ABSTRACT | PDF
The Impact of International Trade and Foreign Competition on Labour Earnings in Poland
E. Stępień
ABSTRACT | PDF
Forecasting Turning Points with Composite Leading Indicators - the Case of Poland
K. Zalewski
ABSTRACT | PDF
Shadow Economy and Its Relations with Tax System and State Budget in Poland
S. Cichocki
ABSTRACT | PDF
Conditional Tests of Factor Augmented Asset Pricing Models with Human Capital and Housing: Some New Results
O. Klinkowska
ABSTRACT | PDF
On Importance of Main Economic Categories: Jel Codes Analysis
K. Karbownik, M. Knauff
ABSTRACT | PDF
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