ISSN: 0137-3056


Punkty MNiSW:

13



Redaktor naczelny:
prof. dr hab. Tomasz Żylicz
tzylicz@wne.uw.edu.pl

Sekretarz redakcji:
Marta Höffner
ekonomia@wne.uw.edu.pl
(48) 22 55 49 184

Wydawca:



Forecasting Turning Points with Composite Leading Indicators - the Case of Poland

K. Zalewski

ABSTRAKT: This paper concerns the problem of short-term forecasting of economic activity. With the use of Composite Leading Indicators the business cycles of Polish economy are forecasted for 1992–2007 and confronted with real data. Results of Composite Leading Indicator analysis conducted for the end of 2007 suggest possible downturn phase at the beginning of 2008.

Pełny tekst (PDF)


Numer wydania: 24

W numerze:

Introduction and Overview
A. Cieślik
ABSTRAKT | PDF
Employment Specialization in the Enlarged European Union
A. Parteka
ABSTRAKT | PDF
Corruption and Social Norms
Ł. Goczek
ABSTRAKT | PDF
The Impact of International Trade and Foreign Competition on Labour Earnings in Poland
E. Stępień
ABSTRAKT | PDF
Forecasting Turning Points with Composite Leading Indicators - the Case of Poland
K. Zalewski
ABSTRAKT | PDF
Shadow Economy and Its Relations with Tax System and State Budget in Poland
S. Cichocki
ABSTRAKT | PDF
Conditional Tests of Factor Augmented Asset Pricing Models with Human Capital and Housing: Some New Results
O. Klinkowska
ABSTRAKT | PDF
On Importance of Main Economic Categories: Jel Codes Analysis
K. Karbownik, M. Knauff
ABSTRAKT | PDF
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